Pakistan vs New Zealand 4th ODI Match Prediction

National Stadium in Karachi

ODI. 4th ODI



New Zealand



Chance of Winning

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Pakistan will face off against New Zealand in the fourth match of the five-match ODI series at National Stadium, Karachi on Friday, May 5th, at 4:00 PM IST. Pakistan once again demonstrated their dominance, securing a 3-0 series victory. In the previous encounter, Pakistan emerged victorious with a 26-run win against New Zealand, thanks to the impressive contributions from Imam-ul-Haq, Babar Azam, Naseem Shah, and Mohammad Waseem Jr. On the other hand, New Zealand will be eager to salvage their pride in the remaining two matches of the one-day series. Captain Tom Latham would be hopeful that his team can break their streak of consecutive losses and secure a win on Friday.


  • Skipper Babar Azam has scored back-to-back fifties, showing impressive form. In the three matches so far, he has scored 168 runs at an average of 56.00 & strike rate of 96.55.

  • Fakhar Zaman is in excellent form right now and has already scored 117, 180, and 19 runs in this series. It is expected that for Pakistan, the leading run scorer in this ODI can be the opener.

  • Pakistan’s Fakhar Zaman who scored consecutive centuries in the first two matches failed in the last match and could score 19 runs.

  • New Zealand’s leading run scorer against Pakistan, Daryl Mitchell after scoring two centuries in the first two games of the series and a score of 21 in the third match. The New Zealand batting is highly dependent on him at the moment.

  • Naseem Shah has taken five wickets in the series but his economy has been utterly impressive – just 4.26.

  • The batting unit of New Zealand has been rather inconsistent with no match-winning performances so far. Hero of the T20I series, Mark Chapman, who was included in ODIs due to his performance of 290 runs in five matches has failed to make even a slight impact, scoring just 29 runs so far.

  • Matt Henry picked a three-wicket haul in the last match(Including Babar Azam’s wicket) and has an impressive economy of 5.38.

  • Haris Rauf is a strong bet to be Pakistan’s leading wicket-taker in this match after taking 6 wickets in the first two matches of the series, although he did not play the third match, but is expected to return to the side for the fourth match of the series.

Our Prediction

Jayesh Bhattar - sports journalist, cricket betting, and gambling expert.

Jayesh Bhattar

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Pakistan vs New Zealand Chance of Winning

Pakistan’s Imam-ul-Haq and Babar Azam formed an outstanding partnership, as they led Pakistan to a 26-run victory over New Zealand. This win secured an insurmountable 3-0 lead for Pakistan in the five-match series and puts them in a position to potentially claim the top spot in the ICC ODI Team Rankings for the first time. This victory is particularly significant as it marks Pakistan’s first series win against New Zealand in 12 years.

With two matches remaining on Friday and Sunday, Pakistan aims to win both and elevate itself from the fifth position to the first position in the ICC ODI Team Rankings. If they achieve this, it will be the first time Pakistan attains the coveted number-one ranking, surpassing their previous best of number three, which was reached in January 2007.

In the previous match, opener Imam-ul-Haq showcased an outstanding performance with the bat, leading the team with the highest score of 90 runs from 107 balls. Additionally, captain Babar Azam displayed excellent form and contributed 54 runs from 62 balls. In terms of bowling, Pakistan will depend on the pace trio of Shaheen Afridi, Muhammad Waseem Jr., and Naseem Shah to make crucial breakthroughs with the new ball. In the previous match, this pace trio performed well, each claiming two wickets. On the other hand, Shadab Khan, the spinner, remained wicketless and conceded 45 runs within his allotted overs.

For New Zealand, Wicket-keeper Tom Blundell performed impressively for New Zealand, finishing the innings with the highest score of 65 runs off 78 balls, including seven boundaries. He received valuable support from Cole McConchie, who played an unbeaten knock of 64 runs off 45 balls, featuring six fours and two sixes. When it comes to bowling, New Zealand will depend on Adam Milne, Matt Henry, Cole McConchie, Rachin Ravindra, Ish Sodhi, and James Neesham to take crucial wickets. In the previous match, Matt Henry stood out as the star performer, claiming three wickets. Additionally, pacer Adam Milne delivered a strong performance, taking 2 for 56 in his ten overs.

The odds for the match remain almost similar to the last two matches. The home team, Pakistan, has odds of 1.39 while the Kiwis currently stand at 3.00. These odds clearly indicate Pakistan to be an easy winner in the match.

Our Prediction

Favourites to win – Pakistan

After trailing 0-2 in the T20I series, the Kiwi team made a stunning comeback, riding on the success of Mark Chapman, who had scored 290 runs on the same average. However, he has now failed in the ODI series and would be eyeing a comeback. Daryll Mitchell scored 113 & 129 in the first two matches but scored just 21 runs in the third one. Thus, their batting unit has not been very consistent and a player has risen up on the occasion. They would need to regroup and plan more about their batting attack as the Pakistan bowlers have been showing ruthless dominance. Kiwis may make two changes for this match, with Rachin Ravindra and James Neesham replacing Henry Nicholls and Henry Shipley. Tom Latham has scored 163 runs in 3 matches at an average of 54.33 with a strike rate of 90.05. Adam Milne and Matt Henry have picked four wickets each with an impressive economy of 6.10 and 5.38 respectively.

Pakistan will heavily rely on their batting lineup as they have been much more instrumental in winning the match for their team. Fakhar Zaman has 646 Runs in 10 matches with an average of 71.77. In the ongoing series, he holds an extraordinary average of 158.00. Skipper Babar Azam has been scoring back-to-back fifties and has an average of 56.00 in the series. Imam-Ul-Haq scored an impressive 90 runs in the last match and has an average of 58.0 in the series. Haris Rauf picked 6 wickets in the first two matches & 11 wickets in the T20I series. Naseem Shah has been very economical in the series, taking five wickets with an average of 4.26.

Top Bets for Pakistan vs New Zealand Match

  • Odds for Pakistan – 1.39
  • Odds for New Zealand- 3.00
  • Top batter bets for Babar Azam – 2.75
  • Top batter bets for Tom Latham – 2.40
  • Top bowler bets for Naseem Shah  – 2.15
  • Top bowler bets for Adam Milne – 2.30

Pakistan vs New Zealand Match Prediction & Betting Tips 2023

In the last encounter, Babar and Imam formed a partnership of 108 runs for the second wicket off 121 balls as Pakistan, batting first, posted a total of 287 for six on a slow pitch. In response, New Zealand faltered after a solid opening stand of 83 runs, eventually getting bowled out for 261 in 49.1 overs. Both Imam and Babar fell in the same manner, dragging deliveries from Matt Henry and Adam Milne onto their stumps. Imam scored a cautious 90 runs off 107 balls, including seven fours and a six, before being dismissed. Babar contributed 54 runs from 62 balls, hitting three fours and a six.

Shadab Khan’s unbeaten 21 runs off 10 balls wrapped up the innings, but it was Mohammad Rizwan (32) and Salman Ali Agha (31) who truly propelled the team forward with a partnership of 54 runs off 48 balls for the fifth wicket, injecting momentum into the game. Shadab struck a four and two sixes, including a six off the final delivery.

Pakistan accumulated 82 runs for the loss of two wickets in the last 10 overs, including 46 runs for two wickets in five overs. During their run-chase, New Zealand swiftly reached 99 for one after 20 overs, but Pakistan’s bowlers managed to slow down the scoring rate. New Zealand scored 92 runs in the subsequent 20 overs, leaving them with a requirement of 97 runs in the last 10 overs. Despite some fielding errors, this proved to be a challenging task as they could only manage 70 runs and were eventually dismissed for 261 in 49.1 overs.

Opener Tom Blundell played a steady inning of 65 runs off 78 balls, including seven fours, and was involved in three valuable partnerships. He shared an 83-run opening stand with Will Young (33), added 30 runs for the second wicket with Daryl Mitchell (21), and contributed 14 runs for the third wicket alongside Tom Latham (45).

Debutant Cole McConchie remained unbeaten on 64 runs from 45 balls, hitting six fours and two sixes. He formed partnerships of 25 runs (34 balls) for the sixth wicket with Latham, 31 runs (21 balls) for the seventh wicket with Adam Milne, 19 runs (14 balls) Ish Sodhi contributed 12 runs off 9 balls in a partnership for the ninth wicket with Henry Shipley, while earlier, Shipley had teamed up with Sodhi to add valuable runs of their own, scoring together for the eighth wicket. Naseem Shah, Mohammad Wasim Jr., and Shaheen Shah Afridi each claimed two wickets for Pakistan.

The Kiwis can take encouragement from their captain’s return to form, which is a promising sign for the upcoming matches. However, the main area of concern for them lies in the bowling department. The absence of experienced bowlers such as Tim Southee, Lockie Ferguson, and Mitch Santner has left a void that needs to be filled. While Matt Henry has been performing well, there is a clear need for more support from the rest of the bowling lineup.

Pakistan vs New Zealand Match Live Streaming

The fourth ODI match between Pakistan and New Zealand will be broadcasted live on the Sony Sports Network in India. Fans can also enjoy the live streaming of the match through the SonyLIV app. In Pakistan, the match will be televised live on PTV Sports. Additionally, viewers in Pakistan have several streaming options at their disposal, including apps like Ary Zap,, Tamasha, and tapmad.

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Pakistan vs New Zealand Match Toss Prediction

Both teams will be eager to win the toss and elect to bat first, aiming to post a score exceeding 290 runs. The previous match held at Karachi resulted in a victory for the side batting first. In the 68 ODI matches played at the National Stadium, the team batting first has emerged victorious in 31 matches, while the team bowling first has won 34 matches. The average score for the team batting first at this venue stands at 259. Spinners are expected to play a pivotal role as the surface traditionally favours slower deliveries and may provide some grip and turn.

Weather Report

The pitch at the National Stadium is expected to be favourable for batting, while also offering some assistance to the fast bowlers early on with the new ball. The weather forecast for Friday’s match indicates sunny conditions with a humidity level of approximately 42%. Temperatures are predicted to range from 26 to 33 degrees Celsius.

Pakistan Player List

Pakistan Squad: Babar Azam (c), Shadab Khan (vc), Abdullah Shafique, Fakhar Zaman, Haris Rauf, Haris Sohail, Ihsanullah, Imam-ul-Haq, Mohammad Wasim Jr, Mohammad Nawaz, Mohammad Rizwan, Naseem Shah, Salman Ali Agha, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Shan Masood, Usama Mir

Predicted Playing XI

Player NameRole
Mohammad RizwanWK
Babar Azam (C)Batsman
Fakhar ZamanBatsman
Saim AyubBatsman
Shadab KhanAll-rounder
Iftikhar AhmedAll-rounder
Faheem AshrafAll-rounder
Imad WasimAll-rounder
Haris RaufBowler
Naseem ShahBowler
Shaheen Shah AfridiBowler

Pakistan Team Form

Pakistan team has shown utter dominance in the three matches of the ODI series so far, especially from the bat. In the last five matches, Pakistan has won three matches. Interestingly, all these matches have been against Kiwis. With the losing two coming in January. Fakhar Zaman has been in outstanding form, scoring 646 runs with an average of 71.77 in the last 10 matches itself. Babar Azam is not much behind with 540 runs in 10 matches at an average of 51 and a strike rate of 81.69. Naseem Shah has been in terrific form as well, scalping 23 wickets in 8 matches with an economy of 4.73. Haris Rauf has taken six wickets in the series with 7.15

New Zealand Player List

New Zealand Squad: Tom Latham(c), Chad Bowes, Cole McConchie, Daryl Mitchell, Henry Nicholls, Henry Shipley, Blair Tickner, Tom Blundell (wk), Benjamin Lister, Adam Milne, James Neesham, Rachin Ravindra, Ish Sodhi, Will Young.

Predicted Playing XI

Tom LathamCaptain/Wicketkeeper
Chad BowesBatsman
Will YoungBatsman
Daryl MitchellAll-rounder
Mark ChapmanBatsman
Henry NichollsBatsman
Adam MilneBowler
Matt HenryBowler
Ish SodhiBowler
Cole McConchieAll-rounder
Henry ShipleyBowler

New Zealand Team Form

Kiwis have not been in much of a good form lately. However, one must not forget that their star players are not playing in this series. Daryll Mitchell has scored 263 runs in 3 matches with an average of 87.86 whereas Tom Latham has been playing crucial knocks, scoring 163 runs in 3 matches at an average of 54.33. Tom and Cole played crucial knocks in the last match, scoring 65 & 64 respectively. Will Young has 250 runs in five matches at an average of 62.50. Matt Henry has 7 wickets in 5 matches at an economy of 4.05. Meanwhile, Henry Shipley has grabbed 12 wickets in 6 matches too. The side is comparatively new and inexperienced but has bounced back in the T20I series and has the confidence to do so once again.

Pakistan vs New Zealand Head to Head

  • Total matches Played –  113 Matches
  • Pakistan Win – 59 Matches
  • New Zealand Win –  50 Matches
  • Draw – 1 Match
  • No Result – 3 Matches

Pakistan vs New Zealand Betting Odds

Although there have been slight changes in the betting odds compared to the last match, the current odds still favour Pakistan as the likely winner. Taking into account their current form and the advantage of playing at home, it is anticipated that the Men in Green will emerge victorious. While New Zealand is expected to put up a strong fight, it is unlikely that they will secure a win.

  • Odds for Pakistan – 1.39
  • Odds for New Zealand- 3.00

Pakistan vs New Zealand Top Team Batsmen

Babar Azam is one of the best batters in this format and has scored back-to-back half-centuries in this series itself. He has an average of 54 in the last ten matches as he has scored 540 runs with a strike rate of 81.69.

  • Top batter bets for Babar Azam – 2.75

Tom Latham has taken up his skipper role perfectly and has been scoring runs consistently. In the three matches so far, he has 163 runs to his name with a strike rate of 90.05 at an average of 54.33.

  • Top batter bets for Tom Latham – 2.40

Pakistan vs New Zealand Riders Top Team Bowler

Naseem Shah has been very economical so far while also churning out wickets in crucial phases of the match. He has taken 23 wickets in 8 matches with an economy of 4.73. His form is significant for the team as they eye for a clean sweep in the series.

  • Top bowler bets for Naseem Shah  – 2.15

Adam Milne has been rather consistent in the series. He has also dismissed Babar Azam in the series quite a few times. He has taken four wickets in the series with an economy of 6.10. His ability to bowl economical spells has been very helpful for the team.

  • Top bowler bets for Adam Milne – 2.30

Prediction Author

With their strong team performance, Pakistan is anticipated to emerge victorious in the fourth match, while New Zealand has relied more on individual players. The Men in Green’s consistent and collective effort provides them with an advantage over New Zealand.

Our Verdict

Favorites to win:


Considering their current form, Pakistan, the host team, will be considered strong favourites to win their match against New Zealand. With players like Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, and Naseem Shah performing exceptionally well in this series, the team management will have high hopes of extending their winning streak in this particular fixture. It is anticipated that Pakistan will secure a comfortable victory over New Zealand at the National Stadium.


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