Pakistan vs New Zealand ODI. 3rd ODI Match Prediction

National Stadium

ODI. 3rd ODI



New Zealand



Chance of Winning

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On Tuesday, April 3, the third match of the five-game ODI series between Pakistan and New Zealand will take place. Pakistan has been exceptional in the series thus far, securing a commanding 2-0 advantage. The upcoming games will now be held at the National Stadium in Karachi. Following their victory in the initial ODI, Pakistan continued their winning streak, surpassing the Kiwis to establish a 2-0 lead in the series. The match at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium was a high-scoring contest, with the hosts narrowly clinching the win. The visitors would be eyeing to have redemption in the series and make their chance. Meanwhile, the Men in Green will hope for winning the series from hereon and eye a massive series victory.


  • Fakhar Zaman is currently in excellent form with the bat, achieving consecutive centuries in his recent performances. He has 297 Runs in 2 ODI matches so far with a strike rate of 115.12 and a highest score of 180*.

  • New Zealand’s Daryll Mitchell is in the same form, he has scored 242 runs in 2 innings with a strike rate of 103.42 along with a highest score of 129. He now has an average of 62.80 against Pakistan.

  • Fakhar Zaman now has 644 runs in the last 10 matches with an average of 71.55.

  • Naseem Shah has taken 21 wickets in 7 matches with an impressive economy of 4.68.

  • Mark Chapman, the hero of the T20I series who scored 290 runs at the same average has failed to deliver in ODIs. He has scored 15 & 1 in both innings.

Our Prediction

Jayesh Bhattar - sports journalist, cricket betting, and gambling expert.

Jayesh Bhattar

Cricket Betting Expert

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Pakistan vs New Zealand Chance of Winning

Pakistan has been exceptional throughout the series, displaying remarkable performances. Apart from a weak bowling display in the second ODI, they have looked flawless and are strongly favoured to secure the series victory on Tuesday. On the other hand, New Zealand will need to bring their best performance to keep the series alive. They must also recover from the setback of losing the second match, despite having control in the initial stages. With Pakistan appearing as a more cohesive team, it is highly likely that they will emerge victorious and clinch both the match and the ODI series.

The second match at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium witnessed a high-scoring encounter, with the hosts narrowly emerging victorious. New Zealand won the toss and elected to bat, accumulating a massive total of 336 runs in their 50 overs. Daryl Mitchell’s magnificent century of 129 off 119 balls, supported by half-centuries from Chad Bowes (51) and Tom Latham (98 off 85 balls), propelled them to the imposing score. Haris Rauf shone with the ball, claiming four wickets for the home team while giving away 78 runs in his spell.

Fakhar Zaman, the dynamic opener, displayed a brilliant century at the top of the batting order. Babar Azam (65) and Mohammed Rizwan (54*) provided valuable contributions as well. Zaman remained unbeaten on a superb 180 off 144 balls, guiding his team to a seven-wicket victory with 10 balls to spare despite the mammoth target. Despite New Zealand’s remarkable batting performance, they struggled to take regular wickets and ended up on the losing side.

Now, the action shifts to the largest city in Pakistan, with the hosts on the verge of clinching the series. They will be eager to replicate their outstanding performance on Tuesday, aiming to secure an insurmountable lead. Meanwhile, New Zealand will need to improve their bowling performance as they have encountered difficulties in the ODI series so far as Matt Henry, Shiply, and Sodhi picked a wicket each in their spells but failed to put on the pressure.

The betting odds for Pakistan currently stand at 1.40. Meanwhile, Kiwis currently have a betting odds of 2.95, which is slightly changed from the last match but indicates a victory for the Men in Green.

Our Prediction

Favourites to win – Pakistan

Pakistan has been in control of the ODI series against New Zealand, particularly with their batting prowess, and it is likely to continue in the upcoming matches. New Zealand’s bowling lacks the necessary experience and effectiveness to trouble Pakistan’s strong batting lineup on these pitches. Consequently, New Zealand will face difficulties in restricting the flow of runs in the third ODI. Babar Azam’s contribution will be crucial as well. He has amassed a total of 678 runs against New Zealand in 16 ODIs, maintaining an average of 45.20. Meanwhile, Haris Rauf has been impressive in this series, taking six wickets overall, including a four-wicket haul in the last match.

However, one must not forget that the Kiwi side does not include every star player with most of them playing either in IPL. Also, in the T20I series, they made a turnaround after losing 2 matches at the start and levelled the series eventually while the fourth match was cancelled due to weather. Henry Shipley has taken 12 wickets in 6 matches with an economy of just 5.53. Whereas Will Young has shown impressive form as well scoring 217 runs in his 4 matches at an average of 72.33. Mark Chapman is also expected to make a comeback, he scored 290 runs at an average of 290 itself in the 5-match T20I series but has failed to make an impact in the ODI series.

Top Bets for Pakistan vs New Zealand Match

  • Odds for Pakistan – 1.40
  • Odds for New Zealand- 2.95
  • Top batter bets for Fakhar Zaman – 2.65
  • Top batter bets for Daryll Mitchell – 2.75
  • Top bowler bets for Haris Rauf  – 2.25
  • Top bowler bets for Henry Shipley – 2.45

Pakistan vs New Zealand Match Prediction & Betting Tips 2023

Fakhar Zaman continued his outstanding form with a third consecutive century in ODIs, smashing an unbeaten 180 off 144 balls. This exceptional inning propelled Pakistan to their second-highest successful chase in the format, comfortably surpassing New Zealand’s target of 336 with seven wickets and almost two overs to spare.

While a target of 337 is usually considered challenging in modern-day ODIs, it proved otherwise at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, especially with Fakhar Zaman in such remarkable form. His century in the second ODI completely dismantled the New Zealand bowling attack. Fakhar’s crucial partnership of 135 runs with Babar Azam, who contributed 65 runs, formed the backbone of the successful chase. Additionally, an electrifying counter-attacking partnership with Mohammad Rizwan (54* off 41 balls) ensured victory was out of reach for the visitors.

Pakistan’s batting lineup boasts incredible strength in ODIs, with Fakhar Zaman leading the charge, followed by Babar Azam, Mohammad Rizwan, and Mohammad Nawaz. This deep batting order is likely to pose minimal trouble for the inexperienced New Zealand bowling attack. In terms of Pakistan’s bowling performance, Naseem Shah showcased his skill once again, finishing with figures of 1-49 from his 10 overs on a flat pitch. Haris Rauf also made a significant contribution, taking four wickets for 78 runs. The spinners, unfortunately, found limited assistance from the pitch, and they will hope for better conditions in Karachi.

Despite making significant improvements compared to the first ODI, New Zealand found themselves on the losing side. Daryl Mitchell once again led the scoring charts with an impressive 129 off 119 balls, receiving valuable support from captain Tom Latham, who contributed 98 runs off 85 balls, resulting in a formidable total. In addition to Will Young’s 86 in the first ODI, opener Chad Bowes stepped up this time, smashing a quickfire 51 runs off the same number of balls.

The return of their captain’s form is a positive sign for the Kiwis, which bodes well for the upcoming matches. However, while their batting unit appears to be in good shape, their main concern lies in their bowling department. The absence of experienced bowlers such as Tim Southee, Lockie Ferguson, and Mitch Santner has left the team struggling. Although Matt Henry has performed well, he requires more support from the rest of the bowling lineup. Even the seasoned Ish Sodhi was heavily taken for runs, conceding 79 off his 10 overs in the second ODI, and it is unlikely that the situation will change significantly in the forthcoming matches.

Pakistan vs New Zealand Match Live Streaming

The Sony Sports Network in India will telecast the live coverage of the third ODI match between Pakistan and New Zealand. Fans can also stream the match live through the SonyLIV app. PTV Sports will broadcast the match live on television in Pakistan. Furthermore, viewers in Pakistan have multiple streaming options available, including apps like Ary Zap, and, Tamasha, and tapmad.

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Pakistan vs New Zealand Match Toss Prediction

The team winning the toss is expected to choose fielding/bowling first. In the 67 ODI matches played at the National Stadium, the team batting first won 30 matches, while the team bowling first emerged victorious in 34 matches. The average score for the team batting first at this venue is 259. The highest total ever recorded at the National Stadium is an impressive 374-4 achieved by India. To remain competitive in the game, the team batting first should aim to post a total of approximately 330 or more runs.

The pitch at the National Stadium is well-balanced, offering equal opportunities for both batsmen and bowlers. Spinners are likely to play a crucial role as the surface traditionally favours slower deliveries and may provide some grip and turn.

Weather Report

The match is expected to take place in ideal conditions, with temperatures ranging from 26 to 33 degrees Celsius. The humidity level will be around 55%. On the day of the game in Karachi, the weather will be hot during the afternoon and will gradually cool down as the night approaches.

The surface is known to be flat, providing a consistent bounce that batsmen will appreciate. While the seamers may find some movement with the new ball, the pitch tends to favour the batsmen and offers a paradise-like setting for scoring runs.

Pakistan Player List

Pakistan Squad: Babar Azam (c), Shadab Khan (vc), Abdullah Shafique, Fakhar Zaman, Haris Rauf, Haris Sohail, Ihsanullah, Imam-ul-Haq, Mohammad Wasim Jr, Mohammad Nawaz, Mohammad Rizwan, Naseem Shah, Salman Ali Agha, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Shan Masood, Usama Mir

Predicted Playing XI

Player NameRole
Mohammad RizwanWK
Babar Azam (C)Batsman
Fakhar ZamanBatsman
Saim AyubBatsman
Shadab KhanAll-rounder
Iftikhar AhmedAll-rounder
Faheem AshrafAll-rounder
Imad WasimAll-rounder
Haris RaufBowler
Naseem ShahBowler
Shaheen Shah AfridiBowler

Pakistan Team Form

The Men in Green are currently in exceptional form, especially with the bat. Fakhar Zaman has already scored three centuries in the last three matches and has 644 runs in the last 10 matches with an average of 644 and a strike rate of 92.13. His knock of 180 runs brought Kiwi bowlers to their knees. Babar Azam has shown consistency, scoring 114 runs in the series with a strike rate of 101.79. He too would be eyeing for a century now. Haris Rauf scalped 11 wickets in the T20I series and picked up a four-wicket haul in the last match while Naseem Shah has taken 21 wickets in 7 matches with an economy of 4.68. Mohammed Rizwan also provides a lot of support in the middle order and would hope to continue his rhythm, he has scored 96 runs in 2 matches with a strike rate of 128.00. Pakistan has won the last three out of the five ODI matches they have played, all of them against NZ.

New Zealand Player List

New Zealand Squad: Tom Latham(c), Chad Bowes, Cole McConchie, Daryl Mitchell, Henry Nicholls, Henry Shipley, Blair Tickner, Tom Blundell (wk), Benjamin Lister, Adam Milne, James Neesham, Rachin Ravindra, Ish Sodhi, Will Young.

Predicted Playing XI

Tom LathamCaptain/Wicketkeeper
Chad BowesBatsman
Will YoungBatsman
Daryl MitchellAll-rounder
Mark ChapmanBatsman
Henry NichollsBatsman
Adam MilneBowler
Matt HenryBowler
Ish SodhiBowler
Cole McConchieAll-rounder
Henry ShipleyBowler

New Zealand Team Form

Kiwis have not been able to perform well with the ball. Despite Daryll Mitchell scoring centuries in both matches (242 runs at a strike rate of 103.42), the bowlers have not been able to restrict the Pakistani batters. Henry Shipley had the best economy of 5.80 in the last match while he picked a wicket as well. Ish Sodhi & Matt Henry got a wicket too but their economy was 6.32 and 7.90 respectively, highlighting the bowling unit’s inefficiency. Tom Latham has also bounced back in form, scoring 98 off 85 balls. A lot will rely on Henry Shipley as he has taken 12 wickets in the last 6 matches with an economy of 5.53. The side, though inexperienced, knows how to bounce back and they did so in the T20I series as well after losing the first two matches.

Pakistan vs New Zealand Head to Head

  • Total matches Played –  112 Matches
  • Pakistan Win – 58 Matches
  • New Zealand Win –  50 Matches
  • Draw – 1 Match
  • No Result – 3 Matches

Pakistan vs New Zealand Betting Odds

The betting odds have slightly changed from the last match but they still favour Pakistan to win the match. After assessing the current form and home advantage, it is likely that the Men in Green would win the match. New Zealand are predicted to give a tough fight but it is unlikely that they will win the match.

  • Odds for Pakistan – 1.40
  • Odds for New Zealand- 2.95

Pakistan vs New Zealand Top Team Batsmen

Fakhar Zaman is enjoying a remarkable run of form with the bat, scoring consecutive centuries. He is the highest run-scorer in the series with a score of 117 & 180* on his name in two matches. He has scored 767 runs against NZ in 13 matches with an average of 69.72 and would look to continue his form further.

  • Top batter bets for Fakhar Zaman – 2.65

Daryll Mitchell is in red-hot form as well. He has also notched up strikingly similar two centuries in two matches so far, even though he ended up on the losing side. He has 242 runs on his name in the series with a score of 113 & 129. He has scored 314 runs against Men in Green in 5 matches with an average of 62.80.

  • Top batter bets for Daryll Mitchell – 2.75

Pakistan vs New Zealand Riders Top Team Bowler

Haris Rauf has been in sensational form in this series. Earlier, he scalped 11 wickets in T20Is and now has 6 wickets in two of the ODI matches as well. In the last match, he picked up four wickets in his spell and will play a crucial role in the series.

  • Top bowler bets for Haris Rauf  – 2.25

Henry Shipley has given impressive performances lately. He has taken 12 wickets in 6 matches with an economy of 5.53. Though he picked just one wicket in the last match, he can be a game-changer at any moment.

  • Top bowler bets for Henry Shipley – 2.45

Prediction Author

Pakistan is expected to win the third match due to their strong team performance, while the Kiwis have relied on individual players. The Men in Green’s consistent and collective effort gives them an edge over New Zealand.

Our Verdict

Favorites to win:


Pakistan is expected to secure victory in the third ODI, establishing a 3-0 lead in the series. Benefiting from playing at home and boasting a full-strength team, Pakistan holds a formidable position to emerge triumphant in the upcoming match and potentially seal the series. In contrast, New Zealand finds itself in the underdog role due to the absence of several key players.


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